A very depressing pythons script (vlog) | Stuff I'm interested in

In this video I look at calculating the number of people who will have corona virus based on using the CFR % and the speed of doubling to figure out how many people have it as of today.

https://github.com/nicholasbernstein/misc-scripts/blob/master/reverse_corona_count.py

4/5/2020:

Infected Now: 260000 Dead: 7020 Infected 17 days ago: 520000 ( deaths in 3 days: 14040 ) Infected 14 days ago: 1040000 ( deaths in 6 days: 28080 ) Infected 11 days ago: 2080000 ( deaths in 9 days: 56160 ) Infected 8 days ago: 4160000 ( deaths in 12 days: 112320 ) Infected 5 days ago: 8320000 ( deaths in 15 days: 224640 )

If this is correct, we will have 224,640 deaths in the US on 4/20/2020 by my calculations. Hopefully social distancing will kick in and this will be much lower.

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